UKCP09 projections - Sea Level / Storm surges, Tides and Wave Height Change (medium emissions, 2080-2090 projections)
These layers show a sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s (see layer name for date) using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. The sub-set chosen are considered to be most relevant to marine planning and management in Scottish waters. The full suite of projections, and all emissions scenarios, can be found on the UKCP09 web site. An update of the UKCP09 data outputs is planned for 2018.
There are nine layers available for Sea Level , Storminess, Tides and Wave Height Changes:
- Rise in Relative Sea Level (medium emissions scenario)
- Increase in extreme storm surge water level by 2100 compared to 2000 for the 50-year return surge (medium emissions scenario)
- Extreme Water Level by 50-year return period storm surges 1) present day; 2) 2095 projections combined with medium emissions relative sea level rise; and 3) 2095 projections combined with a worst case estimate of relative sea level rise.
- Change in Significant Wave Height for 1) winter; 2) spring; 3) summer, and; 4) autumn
All layers © UK Climate Projections, 2009