10159755Edited by Drew.100014876layer_information_pageund1487686175150409781600150409781621<p>These layers show a sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s (see layer name for date) using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. The sub-set chosen are considered to be most relevant to marine planning and management in Scottish waters. The full suite of projections, and all emissions scenarios, can be found on the UKCP09 web site.&nbsp; An update of the UKCP09 data outputs is planned for 2018.</p> <p>There are nine layers available for Sea Surface, Seabed Temperature and Salinity Changes:</p> <ol> <li><em>Change in Sea Surface Temperature </em>for 1) winter;&nbsp; 2) spring; 3) summer, and; 4) autumn</li> <li><em>Change in Near Bed Temperature </em>for 1) winter; 2) spring; 3) summer, and; 4) autumn</li> <li><em>Change in Sea Surface Salinity</em>, winter</li> </ol> <p>All layers © UK Climate Projections, 2009</p> filtered_html<p>These layers show a sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s (see layer name for date) using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. The sub-set chosen are considered to be most relevant to marine planning and management in Scottish waters. The full suite of projections, and all emissions scenarios, can be found on the UKCP09 web site.  An update of the UKCP09 data outputs is planned for 2018.</p> <p>There are nine layers available for Sea Surface, Seabed Temperature and Salinity Changes:</p> <ol> <li><em>Change in Sea Surface Temperature </em>for 1) winter;  2) spring; 3) summer, and; 4) autumn</li> <li><em>Change in Near Bed Temperature </em>for 1) winter; 2) spring; 3) summer, and; 4) autumn</li> <li><em>Change in Sea Surface Salinity</em>, winter</li> </ol> <p>All layers © UK Climate Projections, 2009</p> 758455ukcp09_projections_-_sea_surface_temperature_-_summer_medium_emissions-projected_to_2085.pngpublic://ukcp09_projections_-_sea_surface_temperature_-_summer_medium_emissions-projected_to_2085.pngimage/png7090211489400045imageUKCP09 Projections - Sea Surface Temperature - Summer (medium emissions-projected to 2085)UKCP09 Projections - Sea Surface Temperature - Summer (medium emissions-projected to 2085)UKCP09 Projections - Sea Surface Temperature - Summer (medium emissions-projected to 2085) © UK CP09 UK Climate ProjectionsUKCP09 Projections - Sea Surface Temperature - Summer (medium emissions-projected to 2085) © UK CP09 UK Climate Projections<_drafty_revision_requested>FIELD_LOAD_CURRENTUKCP09 Projections - Sea Surface Temperature - Summer (medium emissions-projected to 2085)600407600407842<p>UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. The UKCP09 website allow users to access information on plausible changes in 21st century climate for the United Kingdom. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.</p> <p>UKCP09 was produced in 2009. It is based on sophisticated scientific methods provided by the Met Office, with input from over 30 contributing organisations. UKCP09 can be used to help organisations assess potential impacts of the projected future climate and to explore adaptation options to address those impacts.</p> <p>Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario:</p> <p><u><em>Sea surface temperature </em></u>-&nbsp; are projected to be between 2 and 2.5ºC warmer although in summer north and west of Scotland may be only 1ºC warmer. The autumn seems to be when most warming will be evident. At the sea bed, warming is similar as at the surface, but only on the shallow continental shelf. In the deep waters surrounding Scotland, off the shelf, temperatures are projected to change very little. There is quite a lot of both regional and seasonal variation in temperature change.</p> <p><u><em>Surface salinity </em></u>-&nbsp; projected to decrease everywhere, and in fact around the entire north east Atlantic, by about 0.2 salinity units. This decrease is mainly due to wide scale changes in the ocean rather than the local effect of rivers. There is very little regional or seasonal variability.</p> filtered_html<p>UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. The UKCP09 website allow users to access information on plausible changes in 21st century climate for the United Kingdom. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.</p> <p>UKCP09 was produced in 2009. It is based on sophisticated scientific methods provided by the Met Office, with input from over 30 contributing organisations. UKCP09 can be used to help organisations assess potential impacts of the projected future climate and to explore adaptation options to address those impacts.</p> <p>Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario:</p> <p><em>Sea surface temperature </em>-  are projected to be between 2 and 2.5ºC warmer although in summer north and west of Scotland may be only 1ºC warmer. The autumn seems to be when most warming will be evident. At the sea bed, warming is similar as at the surface, but only on the shallow continental shelf. In the deep waters surrounding Scotland, off the shelf, temperatures are projected to change very little. There is quite a lot of both regional and seasonal variation in temperature change.</p> <p><em>Surface salinity </em>-  projected to decrease everywhere, and in fact around the entire north east Atlantic, by about 0.2 salinity units. This decrease is mainly due to wide scale changes in the ocean rather than the local effect of rivers. There is very little regional or seasonal variability.</p> 1502414872148731487814896148951489414893148921488914909149081490614866148671486814869148701695sioc:Itemfoaf:Documentdc:datedc:createdxsd:dateTimedate_iso8601dc:modifiedxsd:dateTimedate_iso8601content:encodedsioc:has_creatorrelfoaf:namesioc:num_repliesxsd:integersioc:last_activity_datexsd:dateTimedate_iso8601https://marine.gov.scot/?q=information/ukcp09-projections-sea-surface-and-seabed-temperature-change-medium-emissions-2080-2090MartynC0a:6:{s:7:"overlay";i:1;s:16:"ckeditor_default";s:1:"t";s:20:"ckeditor_show_toggle";s:1:"t";s:14:"ckeditor_width";s:4:"100%";s:13:"ckeditor_lang";s:2:"en";s:18:"ckeditor_auto_lang";s:1:"t";}8907610159714876publishedpublished2115040978161115040978168907610159714876publishedpublished2115040978161115040978168907610159714876publishedpublished211504097816111504097816