10159955Edited by Drew.100014874layer_information_pageund1487685515150410097300150410097321<p>These layers show a sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s (see layer name for date) using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. The sub-set chosen are considered to be most relevant to marine planning and management in Scottish waters. The full suite of projections, and all emissions scenarios, can be found on the UKCP09 web site.&nbsp; An update of the UKCP09 data outputs is planned for 2018.</p> <p>There are five layers available for Precipitation and Air Temperature:</p> <ol> <li><em>Percent change in precipitation&nbsp;</em>(50% probability level) for 1) annual mean; 2) summer, and; 3) winter</li> <li><em>Increase in air temperature&nbsp;</em>(50% probability level) for 1) summer, and; 2) winter</li> </ol> <p>All layers © UK Climate Projections, 2009</p> filtered_html<p>These layers show a sub-set of the UKCP09 marine and coastal projections up to 2090s (see layer name for date) using a medium emission scenario and, where appropriate, medium probability. The sub-set chosen are considered to be most relevant to marine planning and management in Scottish waters. The full suite of projections, and all emissions scenarios, can be found on the UKCP09 web site.  An update of the UKCP09 data outputs is planned for 2018.</p> <p>There are five layers available for Precipitation and Air Temperature:</p> <ol> <li><em>Percent change in precipitation </em>(50% probability level) for 1) annual mean; 2) summer, and; 3) winter</li> <li><em>Increase in air temperature </em>(50% probability level) for 1) summer, and; 2) winter</li> </ol> <p>All layers © UK Climate Projections, 2009</p> 758255ukcp09_projections_-_summer_air_temperature_50_probability-medium_emissions-projeced_to_2085.pngpublic://ukcp09_projections_-_summer_air_temperature_50_probability-medium_emissions-projeced_to_2085.pngimage/png6540511489399080imageUKCP09 Projections - Summer Air Temperature (50% probability-medium emissions-projected to 2085)UKCP09 Projections - Summer Air Temperature (50% probability-medium emissions-projected to 2085)UKCP09 Projections - Summer Air Temperature (50% probability-medium emissions-projected to 2085) © UK-CP09 UK Climate ProjectionsUKCP09 Projections - Summer Air Temperature (50% probability-medium emissions-projected to 2085) © UK-CP09 UK Climate Projections<_drafty_revision_requested>FIELD_LOAD_CURRENT1UKCP09 Projections - Summer Air Temperature (50% probability-medium emissions-projected to 2085)584459584459842<p>UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. The UKCP09 website allow users to access information on plausible changes in 21st century climate for the United Kingdom. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.</p> <p>UKCP09 was produced in 2009. It is based on sophisticated scientific methods provided by the Met Office, with input from over 30 contributing organisations. UKCP09 can be used to help organisations assess potential impacts of the projected future climate and to explore adaptation options to address those impacts.</p> <p>Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario:</p> <p><u><em>Precipitation</em></u> (rainfall) - over Scotland summers will become up to 20% drier, and winters 20% wetter. Overall, the central estimate is for the annual average rainfall to be about 10% less in the 2080s. There are some regional differences.</p> <p><u><em>Air temperature </em></u>- &nbsp;winter air temperatures to increase by between 1.1 and 2.4ºC by the 2080s. Increases are projected to be greater on the east coast than on the west coast. Very similar values are projected for summer. &nbsp;There are some regional differences in the projections.</p> filtered_html<p>UKCP09 is the name given to the UK Climate Projections. The UKCP09 website allow users to access information on plausible changes in 21st century climate for the United Kingdom. UKCP09 provides future climate projections for land and marine regions as well as observed (past) climate data for the UK.</p> <p>UKCP09 was produced in 2009. It is based on sophisticated scientific methods provided by the Met Office, with input from over 30 contributing organisations. UKCP09 can be used to help organisations assess potential impacts of the projected future climate and to explore adaptation options to address those impacts.</p> <p>Summarising the anticipated changes around Scotland based on central estimate projections for 2080-90 using the medium emission scenario:</p> <p><em>Precipitation</em> (rainfall) - over Scotland summers will become up to 20% drier, and winters 20% wetter. Overall, the central estimate is for the annual average rainfall to be about 10% less in the 2080s. There are some regional differences.</p> <p><em>Air temperature </em>-  winter air temperatures to increase by between 1.1 and 2.4ºC by the 2080s. Increases are projected to be greater on the east coast than on the west coast. Very similar values are projected for summer.  There are some regional differences in the projections.</p> 15024148721487314878148881489714903149021488514866148671486814869148701695sioc:Itemfoaf:Documentdc:datedc:createdxsd:dateTimedate_iso8601dc:modifiedxsd:dateTimedate_iso8601content:encodedsioc:has_creatorrelfoaf:namesioc:num_repliesxsd:integersioc:last_activity_datexsd:dateTimedate_iso8601https://marine.gov.scot/?q=information/ukcp09-projections-precipitation-and-air-temperature-medium-emissions-2080-2090MartynC0a:6:{s:7:"overlay";i:1;s:16:"ckeditor_default";s:1:"t";s:20:"ckeditor_show_toggle";s:1:"t";s:14:"ckeditor_width";s:4:"100%";s:13:"ckeditor_lang";s:2:"en";s:18:"ckeditor_auto_lang";s:1:"t";}8908010159914874needs_reviewpublished2115041009731115041009738908010159914874needs_reviewpublished2115041009731115041009738908010159914874needs_reviewpublished211504100973111504100973